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Oakland/East Bay Retail Market Report

4th Quarter 2025

Posted In — Market Research | Market Report

The East Bay retail market in Q4 2025 saw vacancy rates rise slightly while asking rents posted modest growth. Construction activity continued to decline, and sales pricing dropped sharply year-over-year. Net absorption remained negative, signaling ongoing demand challenges. Explore our full East Bay retail market review for detailed trends and transaction insights.

4Q 2025 East Bay Retail Market: Key Data Points
  • Vacancy Rate Increases: Vacancy climbed to 5.9%, up 70 basis points year-over-year.
  • Asking Rents Edge Up: Average asking rent reached $2.46 per SF per year, a 1.3% increase from Q4 2024.
  • Construction Pipeline Shrinks: Space under construction fell to 330,481 SF, down 33.7% year-over-year.
  • Sales Pricing Drops: Average sales price declined to $111 per SF, a 51.6% decrease compared to last year.
  • Cap Rates Expand: Average cap rate rose to 6.1%, up 40 basis points year-over-year.
  • Net Absorption Negative: Q4 absorption totaled -480,095 SF, reflecting continued soft demand.

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